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Please use this identifier to cite or link to this item: http://hdl.handle.net/2451/26939

Title: Macroeconomic Foundations of Higher Moments in Bond Yields
Authors: David, Backus
Foresi, Silverio
Wu, Liuren
Keywords: term structure
skewness and kurtosis
multi-factors affine models
pricing kernels
consumption growth
inflation
Issue Date: 19-Jan-1997
Series/Report no.: FIN-96-010
Abstract: Kurtosis in asset prices and returns has been so widely documented it hardly bears comment. Equally interesting, in our view, is the relatively modest kurtosis in consumption growth and inflation. The question is how to reconcile the two: Is kurtosis in asset prices inherited from macroeconomic fundamentals, or does some feature of the economy generate leptokurtotic returns internally? We describe a model that reconciles the two by generating leptokurtotic interest rates from a near-normal pricing kernel.
URI: http://hdl.handle.net/2451/26939
Appears in Collections:Finance Working Papers

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