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Please use this identifier to cite or link to this item: http://hdl.handle.net/2451/31583

Title: The Making of America's Imbalances
Authors: Schularick, Moritz
Wachtel, Paul
Keywords: savings rate
flow of funds
wealth effects
financial instability
global imbalances
current account deficit
Issue Date: 9-Jul-2012
Abstract: This paper tracks the development of sectoral saving and borrowing in the US economy over the past 50 years. We show that the financial imbalances that erupted in the financial crisis of 2008 were long in the making and preceded the emergence of global imbalances in the 2000s. The record low household savings rate in the past decade was the product of two separate trends: a sharp fall in the asset acquisition of American households in the 1990s, and an explosion of mortgage borrowing in the 2000s. We present novel disaggregated estimates of the wealth effect on savings. We show that households reduce active savings in response to gains in financial wealth and increase borrowing with rising housing wealth. Finally, we argue that the American credit boom of the 2000s had few direct links to reserve accumulation in emerging markets. The mortgage boom was financed by the US financial sector which intermediated foreign funds from private sources.
URI: http://hdl.handle.net/2451/31583
Appears in Collections:Economics Working Papers

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