PLUG-IN SELECTION OF THE NUMBER OF FREQUENCIES IN REGRESSION ESTIMATES OF THE MEMORY PARAMETER OF A LONG-MEMORY TIME SERIES
|Authors:||Hurvich, Clifford M.|
Deo, Rohit S.
|Publisher:||Stern School of Business, New York University|
|Abstract:||We consider the problem of selecting the number of frequencies, m, in a log-periodogram regression estimator of the memory parameter d of a Gaussian long-memory time series. It is known that under certain conditions the optimal m, minimizing the mean squared error of the corresponding estimator of d, is given by m(opt) = Cn4/5, where n is the sample size and C is a constant. In practice, C would be unknown since it depends on the properties of the spectral density near zero frequency. In this paper, we propose an estimator of C based again on a log-periodogram regression and derive its consistency. We also derive an asymptotically valid confidence interval for d when the number of frequencies used in the regression is deterministic and proportional to n4/5. In this case, squared bias cannot be neglected since it is of the same order as the variance. In a Monte Carlo study, we examine the performance of the plug-in estimator of d, in which m is obtained by using the estimator of C in the formula for m(opt) above. We also study the performance of a bias-corrected version of the plug-in estimator of d. Comparisons with the choice m = nÃÂ½ frequencies, as originally suggested by Geweke and Porter-Hudak.|
|Appears in Collections:||IOMS: Statistics Working Papers|
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